FINAL Silver Bulletin 2024 presidential election forecast
Nov 5, 2024 · FINAL Silver Bulletin 2024 presidential election forecast. All the numbers for Trump vs. Harris. 🕒 Last and final update: 12:30 a.m., Tuesday, November 5. Happy Election Day! At exactly midnight on Tuesday, we ran our simulation model for the final time in this election cycle.
Democrats 'Hidden Good News' in Election Results, According to Nate Silver
3 hours ago · Nate Silver pointed to some "hidden good news" for Democrats in this year's election results. Republicans had a solid showing in last Tuesday's election. Donald Trump secured 312 Electoral College ...
Nate Silver sees ‘hidden good news’ for Democrats in 2024 results
4 hours ago · Pollster Nate Silver said he believes there is “hidden good news” for Democrats in the 2024 election results, despite the party wondering where its messaging went so wrong. In his newsletter ...
Harris takes razor-thin lead in final Nate Silver forecast - Yahoo News
Nov 5, 2024 · Vice President Harris took a razor-thin lead against former President Trump in Nate Silver’s final forecast of the 2024 election, with the veteran pollster saying the race is “literally closer than a coin flip.” According to the forecast, Harris won the Electoral College in 50.015 percent of the 80,000 simulations run, which Silver noted is…
Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?
UPDATED Nov. 5, 2024, at 6:00 AM. Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election? 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes. Harris wins 50 times...
Nate Silver talks risk, uncertainty, gambling and 2024 election
Oct 28, 2024 · Silver praised Trump’s strategy of targeting microniche groups to raise his ceiling to the 49 percent of the vote that would likely mean winning the Electoral College. He acknowledged that the uncertainty of the outcome at this …
Nate Silver poll projects Harris, Trump split popular, electoral vote
Sep 17, 2024 · As of Tuesday, Silver’s Electoral College forecast shows former President Trump with a 56.2% chance of winning the electoral college compared to Harris’ 43.5% chance of winning.
Opinion | Nate Silver: My Gut Says Trump, but Don’t Trust …
Oct 23, 2024 · Mr. Silver is the author of “On the Edge: The Art of Risking Everything.” Leer en español In an election where the seven battleground states are all polling within a percentage point or two ...
The Electoral College bias has returned with a vengeance
Sep 6, 2024 · The Electoral College bias has returned with a vengeance. Trump has gained in critical states since the DNC — but that may be reversion to the mean. Silver Bulletin recently passed 200,000 total (paid + free) subscribers, way more than I ever expected.
Harris is in much better shape than Biden. But she has ... - Nate Silver
Jul 30, 2024 · The Silver Bulletin presidential election forecast model relaunched today, and there’s some good news for Democrats: Kamala Harris is in a considerably better position than Joe Biden, who had only a 27 percent chance of winning when he exited the race — and that was probably generous given Biden’s increasingly evident inability to run a ...
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