Polls taken before Election Day did pretty well. Pollsters got close to the mark in races for president and senate, which is ...
Presidential historian Allan Lichtman, 77, is a distinguished professor of history at American University and has predicted ...
Essentially, he told me, FiveThirtyEight reflects one person’s approach to turning data into a probability. Markets are ...
On Thursday morning, Trump's probability of winning was 63% or higher on Polymarket, a crypto trading platform, and two major ...
Polls are almost always at least a bit off. Some of that is due to imperfect assumptions about what the likely voter ...
The final polls are in for crucial Senate races across the country, and they appear just as close at the White House race.
Trump briefly dipped to -145 after the first results came in at 4 p.m. Tuesday. But his odds quickly soared to -225 by 5 p.m.