Lichtman believed that Harris had satisfied the requisite eight keys, but then she lost— and in resounding fashion. After the ...

The so-called "Nostradamus" of U.S. elections has admitted he was wrong after predicting Kamala Harris would win the keys to ...

American University historian Allan Lichtman, famed for a model that has correctly predicted the popular vote in almost all ...

In an era of statistically complex, probabilistic election models, Lichtman is a throwback. He bases his predictions not on polls, but rather on the answers to a set of 13 true-or-false questions ...

Historian Allan Lichtman called out Nate Silver's 2024 forecast, despite both predicting Kamala Harris would defeat Donald Trump.

Despite recent polls giving former President Donald Trump an edge in the 2024 presidential election, American University professor Dr. Allan Lichtman is standing by his prediction that Vice ...

Democratic nominee Kamala Harris will be the next president of the United States and beat Republican rival Donald Trump on Election Day, or so historian and election forecaster Allan Lichtman ...

Two of the biggest election prognosticators disagree over who will win the 2024 presidential race. Who's model is more accurate?

Joseph J. Thorndike examines the historical precedents for some of the presidential candidates’ main tax policy proposals and considers the likelihood that each could be successfully enacted by the ...

Democratic nominee Kamala Harris will be the next president of the United States and beat Republican rival Donald Trump on Election Day, or so historian and election forecaster Allan Lichtman still ...