That's lower than the statistical bias of the polls in 2016 and 2020, which underestimated Trump by 3.2 and 4.1 points, respectively. But it's higher than the bias in the 2000, 2004, 2008 and 2012 ...

Through Monday, Nov. 4, 83 million Americans had already cast their ballots in the 2024 election. On Tuesday, Nov. 5 - Election Day - millions more will join them. Their votes this year will matter ...

ABC News is projecting that Trump is expected to win Indiana’s 11 electoral votes. That is not a surprise. In previous ...

Presidential historian Allan Lichtman, 77, is a distinguished professor of history at American University and has predicted ...

Just before Election Day, national polls indicate a tight presidential race. How accurate are the polls, and when will we ...

We're just one day away from Election Day. With less than 24 hours until Tuesday's presidential election begins, voters will ...

ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls 48.1% over Trump 46.7% - by 1.4%, a slimmer margin yet again ...

Polls are almost always at least a bit off. Some of that is due to imperfect assumptions about what the likely voter ...

538's final presidential election forecast. Katie Marriner and Amina Brown for 538 And that's why we've been saying the race isn't necessarily going to be close just because the polls are.

who trails at 43.4% according to recent polling data from FiveThirtyEight. The site provides an updated average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency ...