The renowned predictor of presidential election outcomes got this one wrong after compiling a strikingly successful record ...

The so-called "Nostradamus" of U.S. elections has admitted he was wrong after predicting Kamala Harris would win the keys to ...

American University historian Allan Lichtman, famed for a model that has correctly predicted the popular vote in almost all ...

In an era of statistically complex, probabilistic election models, Lichtman is a throwback. He bases his predictions not on polls, but rather on the answers to a set of 13 true-or-false questions ...

Despite recent polls giving former President Donald Trump an edge in the 2024 presidential election, American University professor Dr. Allan Lichtman is standing by his prediction that Vice ...

Democratic nominee Kamala Harris will be the next president of the United States and beat Republican rival Donald Trump on Election Day, or so historian and election forecaster Allan Lichtman ...

Two of the biggest election prognosticators disagree over who will win the 2024 presidential race. Who's model is more accurate?

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Joseph J. Thorndike examines the historical precedents for some of the presidential candidates’ main tax policy proposals and considers the likelihood that each could be successfully enacted by the ...

Democratic nominee Kamala Harris will be the next president of the United States and beat Republican rival Donald Trump on Election Day, or so historian and election forecaster Allan Lichtman still ...