After a poor performance in 2020, pre-election polls this year were largely accurate in depicting a tight race between Donald ...

On Thursday morning, Trump's probability of winning was 63% or higher on Polymarket, a crypto trading platform, and two major ...

When is the US election?What are the key battleground states?What happens on election day?What time do polls open?What time ...

the polling numbers become nonpredictive, perhaps even misleading. This was observed in the 2016 presidential election, when ...

Will Donald Trump or Kamala Harris be the next president? Here is what polls, odds and historians say as we head into ...

When reporters at The Associated Press are covering the election, horse race polling numbers ... still reflects opinion before all ballots have been cast. Even in high-quality polls, each finding ...

They distort our democracy, have little value, and make us all insane. We should do what other countries do, and ban them ...

Less than two weeks before Election Day ... most criticism of opinion polling was coming from conservative opponents of the New Deal, who argued that “polls are intrinsically a menace to ...

With three weeks until Election ... numbers, polling suggests that momentum appears to be shifting to Trump. Political betting markets, which can react to events quicker than polls, give Trump ...

Anxiety about the 2024 election is high ... might lose — and they want polls to tell them just how scared to be. Right now, polls give us the clearest answers to those questions. But there’s a problem ...

the polling numbers become nonpredictive, perhaps even misleading. This was observed in the 2016 presidential election, when Donald Trump outperformed the polls in several key states and won an ...