Lichtman believed that Harris had satisfied the requisite eight keys, but then she lost— and in resounding fashion. After the ...

The so-called polling "Nostradamus" said he contacted police after allegedly receiving threats against his life.

American University historian Allan Lichtman, famed for a model that has correctly predicted the popular vote in almost all ...

In an era of statistically complex, probabilistic election models, Lichtman is a throwback. He bases his predictions not on polls, but rather on the answers to a set of 13 true-or-false questions ...

Historian Allan Lichtman reaffirmed his 2024 election prediction that Vice President Kamala Harris will narrowly defeat former President Donald Trump, and called out fellow predictor Nate Silver, ...

Despite recent polls giving former President Donald Trump an edge in the 2024 presidential election, American University professor Dr. Allan Lichtman is standing by his prediction that Vice ...

Two of the biggest election prognosticators disagree over who will win the 2024 presidential race. Who's model is more accurate?

Democratic nominee Kamala Harris will be the next president of the United States and beat Republican rival Donald Trump on Election Day, or so historian and election forecaster Allan Lichtman still ...

An American presidential historian is maintaining his previous prediction of a Kamala Harris presidency as the U.S. election hits the one-week mark.

Joseph J. Thorndike examines the historical precedents for some of the presidential candidates’ main tax policy proposals and considers the likelihood that each could be successfully enacted by the ...